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Panicked stock market exits during volatility cost investors tens of thousands in missed gains, as the S&P 500 returned nearly 10% in March 2026 alone after a VIX spike, and historical data shows 33 up years versus only 7 down years over the past 40 years.
Buy-and-hold investing works for accumulators with at least 5 years before needing their money, but near-retirees should hold 1-2 years of spending in cash or Treasury bills to avoid being forced to sell at market lows during drawdowns.
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On her May 3, 2026, Women and Money podcast, Suze Orman delivered a blunt warning to investors who feel like running for cover. "The biggest mistake you will ever make, and you probably are making it, or you have made it, is when, in fact, you stop investing. You sell, you get out. You let fear dictate the moves that you make." Her supporting evidence: "In the past 40 years, since they started to track the Standard and Poor's 500, in those 40 years, there were 33 up years and only seven down years, just seven."
The stakes are concrete. Consumer sentiment sits at 47.6, recessionary territory, and worse than 73% of historical readings, and worse than the 53.3 figure posted in March. If you cash out a 401(k) into a money market because the news cycle scares you, and the market continues its long-run drift higher, the gap between staying invested and sitting in cash compounds for the rest of your life.
Orman is correct, with one important asterisk. The financial concept underneath her claim is dollar-cost averaging combined with time horizon risk, and the math is on her side for anyone with at least five years before they need the money.
Consider a 35-year-old with $200,000 in a 401(k) who panicked in March 2026 when the Volatility Index (VIX) spiked above 31 and moved everything to cash. Weeks later, the VIX had collapsed to nearly 17, and the S&P 500 returned almost 10% in a single month. Over the trailing year, the index gained roughly 29%. A panicked exit cost roughly $58,000 of paper gains plus tax friction.
Orman's compounding example makes the longer arc visible. $100 a month invested from age 25 to 65 at a 12% average annual return grows to about $1.17 million. Wait until 35, and you finish with roughly $300,000. A ten-year delay costs about $700,000. The 33-up, 7-down statistic is the empirical reason buy-and-hold investors win against people who try to outguess drawdowns.
The advice fits well for accumulators between roughly 25 and 55 with stable income, an emergency fund, and a 401(k) or Roth IRA on autopilot. For them, market drops are a feature. Lower prices mean more shares per paycheck.
It is incomplete for the 62-year-old retiring next year with $600,000, no pension, and a plan to draw $40,000 annually. That investor faces sequence-of-returns risk, the danger that early-retirement losses force selling at lows. Orman's own caveat covers this: she said, "As long as you have at least five years or longer, preferably longer, till you need this money". A near-retiree should hold one to two years of spending in Treasury bills or a high-yield savings account so a drawdown does not force liquidations. With the 10-year Treasury at 4.4%, the cash side of that bucket is finally paying.
Three concrete actions tied to the concept:
Confirm your contribution rate is set and automated. If you stopped 401(k) contributions during late-March volatility, restart them this pay period. The S&P is up almost 6% year to date, and the VIX has normalized.
Size your cash buffer to your time horizon. Working accumulators need three to six months of expenses. Anyone within five years of needing the money should hold one to two years of spending in cash or short Treasuries.
Run Orman's compounding test. Plug your age, monthly contribution, and a 7% to 10% return into any retirement calculator. The number that comes out is what fear costs if you stop.
Orman's verdict gets the core right. The investors who lose are the ones who confuse volatility with permanent loss and act on that confusion. Match her advice to your time horizon, keep the cash buffer she always preaches, and the 33-and-7 math does the rest.
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